Who do you think will win the presidential election?

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  • It's happened before. All the people who did it got arrested, though.

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    • Not true. IF the Electors cannot select a President and Vice President with a clear majority of votes, the decision then goes to the US House of Representation.

      The situation where a candidate has died or suffered a major health (or character) situation has never occurred in the United States.

      However, In 1824 Andrew Jackson was the Presidential Candidate with the most electors votes; but it was not a clear majority. The House of Representatives chose John Quincy Adams as President per the rules under the 12th Constitutional Amendment (John Quincy Adams had run for President).

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      • You're right. I thought you said something else.

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        • Not a problem. Most people don't understand how the constitutional electoral college and US House, etc. drives the results.

          It is my understanding that ultimately if the electors cannot make a clear choice, if the US House of Representation cannot make a clear choice, or a candidate dies (or suffers very major medical issues) prior to being sworn in as President (without the US House being able to reconvene and re-select) - that the Speaker of the House gets sworn in as President so that the country has a new President on Jan 20, 2021 (and every 4 years after that unless there are further Constitutional Amendments). Assuming that she gets re-elected in her home state and within the House of Representatives(an almost certainty) this will be Democratic Representative Nancy Pelosi in January 2020.

          Should an election not be held in the previous November, my understanding is the Senate President Pro Tempore would be sworn in as the President as there would not be a Speaker of the House (as all Representatives terms expire on Jan 3 of all odd years). The President Pro Tempore is historically the most senior member of the Senate. Should the November 2020 elections not happen this would be Senator Democrat Senator Patrick Leahy, although the remaining about 2/3 of the current Senate who are serving terms could select someone else. The Democrats would have the majority of the current remaining senate, and could designate another Democrat as Senate President Pro Tempore prior to Jan 20 if they felt someone else was more qualified for the job (and to be President).

          The above scenarios have ensured that virtually all Republicans will do everything possible to ensure that the election happens in November 2020.

          There are no scenarios where President Trump could remain in office if not specifically chosen by the electors in December or the US House or Representatives if the electors cannot decide after a November election. Not even if he were to declare martial law.

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