I don't think it'll happen within my lifetime. I've worked with neural nets. The AI you see has often been programmed to look intelligent according to the task at hand. Admittedly humans are programmed too (by training) but so much more of what we do isn't specifically hard-wired.
At the moment, the AI looks a lot better than it actually is (which is naturally the case because the people who develop it want more research money so have to demonstrate something good).
Technological singularity is near.
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I don't think it'll happen within my lifetime. I've worked with neural nets. The AI you see has often been programmed to look intelligent according to the task at hand. Admittedly humans are programmed too (by training) but so much more of what we do isn't specifically hard-wired.
At the moment, the AI looks a lot better than it actually is (which is naturally the case because the people who develop it want more research money so have to demonstrate something good).
We may get there eventually, though.