Polar bear or 10 men?

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  • The people would need to be incredibly well-organised and individual members of the group would have to be willing to sacrifice themselves to increase the chance of survival for the remaining members. What even counts as a "win" for the men? Does it still count if only one man survives, and the rest all die? That would still leave the bear with a much more impressive kill ratio of 9:1. I think there's a case to be made that the bear won if that was the outcome, even if it did die. There's no question that if the men lost 90% of their "troops" they have not won. Maybe nobody wins; that's the most common outcome of two sides in well-matched combat.

    I think if the men got multiple attempts (regenerating after their loss each time), they would kill the bear at least once in the first 10 "replays". I think it would be hugely unlikely - bordering on impossible - that they'd make it in the very first attempt though, without any practice or experience to base their tactics on. They'd be shooting in the dark, and they'd probably get massacred.

    Conversely, while the determination of the men is a factor the determination of the bear is also a factor. Remember, the bear is in an alien environment and, as it is not hungry, has no desire to kill the men. In fact, the men have no desire to kill the bear either unless the bear attacks them. Would they even attack each other?

    There are too many uncontrollable parameters. One likely death is that the men, scrambling to safety in a tree, will break the branch and fall to their deaths out of pure chance and break their necks with the bear having nothing to do with it. The fight would probably not be an epic one.

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    • It's a simple fight to the death. Whoever is alive at the end wins. Maybe not a good win, but a win nonetheless.

      The reason for the two attacking each other is simple. Neither of them can leave until one of them is dead. I forgot to mention that part. However, the bear, being a bear, probably won't understand that concept all that well.

      By the way, I like the way you think. I never considered the falling out of the trees scenario. Never occurred to me for some reason.

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