Honestly, your counter argument here (which I agree with) is a bit mathematically flimsy. You need to reference Bayes Thereom of statistical inference which is what the Ph.D. researchers are expected to use in academic reviews. Basically, Bayes says the prior probability of being admitted to the hospital given that you have Covid symptoms and are fully vaccinated are likely different from the prior probability of already being in the hospital with Covid symptoms. The missing piece here is non-vaccinated people who have already gotten Covid and recovered without medical assistance.
Your argument does make this inference; and certainly Bayes Theorem is beyond WeirdGuy's horizon of comprehension. The formula is P(A|B) = P(B|A) * P(A) / P(B)
IIN That I got covid-19, despite being fully vaccinated?
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Honestly, your counter argument here (which I agree with) is a bit mathematically flimsy. You need to reference Bayes Thereom of statistical inference which is what the Ph.D. researchers are expected to use in academic reviews. Basically, Bayes says the prior probability of being admitted to the hospital given that you have Covid symptoms and are fully vaccinated are likely different from the prior probability of already being in the hospital with Covid symptoms. The missing piece here is non-vaccinated people who have already gotten Covid and recovered without medical assistance.
Your argument does make this inference; and certainly Bayes Theorem is beyond WeirdGuy's horizon of comprehension. The formula is P(A|B) = P(B|A) * P(A) / P(B)
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