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Not talking about casinos, bingo, or poker here, just have you ever purchased lottery tickets and or scratch off tickets? if so how often?
Did you know ..that The chances of you dying on the way to get your lottery tickets is greater than your chances of winning...kinda obvious i guess, and i suppose "you NEVER know"
When the jackpot reaches $582M, the expected value of playing is $2. This justifies buying a ticket. So, I do.
The powerball jackpot once reached a record $1.5B. I splurged and bought 5 tickets. Of course, there are additional considerations at these astronomical levels because billionaires can buy a ticket for every one of the 292,201,338 outcomes and possibly share the prize with few enough people to cover the money lost on taxes. Game theory may help solve these first world problems. But, dollar cost averaging into the stock market makes more sense for upper middle class people like many of us.
no joke i made an account on this site to buy one bitcoin when it was around $500, i forget exactly what happened but I had a bit of trouble making the purchase and setting up the whole id verification, it was only year give or take, later when it soared to 20k lol .. sure wish i would've put more effort into making it happen! of course now it's at like 7k .. wonder if it'll soar again ...
That happened to me in 2007. My friends use to use bitcoins to buy weed on the silk road back in the day. They use to tell me I should do it but I was too big a puss. Those druggie dudes ended up making a shit ton of money off bitcoin because they left money in it. Back then a bitcoin was like 5 cents. Then it went up to 18,000 a bitcoin. They had hundreds of dollars in it. Unfortunately they rode the wave too long and ended up losing much of the money since bitcoin dropped back to 7,000. He said in like 2016 that he made over a million off it. He didnt take the money out in time.
I got in too late myself and lost abit of money although now ive made the money back since its going back up.
100% incorrect pretty simple to see too.
Odds of power ball = 1 in 292 million.
If the population of the united states is 327 million
it would only take only two people to die by mass shooting in a year to make it a better chance of dyeing by mass shooting in a full calendar year than winning the power ball. (1 in 163 million)
Roughly 1,100 people died in mass shootings in america in a year so that works out to odds of 1 in a little less than 3 million chance of being killed by mass shooting in a calendar year.
Now if you want to go by day, you'd have a 1 in 292 million chance of winning the power ball today, but you'd have a roughly 1 in 109 million chance of dyeing by mass shooting today.
That is, if that past mass shootings have any indicator of future mass shootings, as too say if we can expect the same number of people to die in the future by mass shootings as they have in the past, which obviously might not be the case, their could be less or more.
so in statistics it's a harder one to quantify because of it's unpredictable inconstant nature, but they do appear to be on the rise.
"Roughly 1,100 people died in mass shootings in America in a year"
100% BULLSHIT!!!! You are talking out your ass.
According to Everytown.org, A study of mass shooting incidents between 1981 and 2017 found that there were 501 fatalities reported in 44 mass shooting incidents.
That's 501 people in 36 years. 13.91 a year is FAR from your claim of 1,100 people a year.
According to Powerball, there have been 373 winners since 1992. That averages out to 13.81 a year. Pretty much the same. My claim is closer to reality than yours.
It depends on how you define a mass shooting i suppose. Even still your sources appear to be flawed or perhaps mine could be. here is a link to all mass shooting in 2018 on wiki------> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mass_shootings_in_the_United_States_in_2018
with the date and event detailed.
it says 380 something deaths, sure not 1,100 from my other source which i believe may have included injuries "casualties", either or it's quite a lot more than 13.91 a year.
We are not deciding the likely hood you'll be killed by mass shooting 30 years ago, it's much more likely in todays age. it seems you have some anger towards even entertaining idea that it could be more likely due to some political belief or some shite.
I mean even if you just take the 50 people who died in the las vegas shooting wouldn't that have made it more likely to die that year of a mass shooting than winning the Powerball in that particular year? arguing over sticks anyway... i mean we can both agree they both are very unlikely events. Only one of them is a terribly sad event that i would think we both would agree would be best if it didn't happen ever
I get tired of anti-gun bullshit, fear mongering and hysteria. If you look at FBI statistics, the overall gun homicide rate has significantly declined since the 1990's. You are safer today than you were in the past.
In the US the term Mass Shooting was originally defined by the US Attorney General as the murder of four or more people with no cooling-off period but redefined by Congress in 2013 as being murder of three or more people. In 2006 the Australian government defined it as 5 or more dead. Now we are calling it a mass shooting if 3 people are injured. Give me a break. You can injure 3 people with a knife. If 3 people injured with a firearm is a mass shooting then they have been happening since the birth of America. Soon it will be defined as a mass shooting if 3 or more heard gunshots.
As for the 50 in Las Vegas, that was a complete anomaly. Kind of like when the guy killed 86 in Nice, France with a truck. When you have so many people penned in you can kill alot of them with any number of things.
I get that you don't like anti-gun bullshit, but I feel like maybe because you don't like it so much you want to down play reality just as the other side may up play it, which id say is equally bad. MYABE you do that, that's your own self reflection to figure out.
idk at what point you can call it an anomaly, both in France and in the USA in the last several years or so have seen several large scale attacks.
Some of the larger ones in recent USA history,
17 killed - February 14, 2018 parkland school shooting
58 killed - October 1, 2017 - Las Vegas, shooting
25 killed - November 5, 2017 texas church
49 killed - June 12, 2016 pulse night club shootiing
14 killed - December 2, 2015
27 killed - December 14, 2012 sandy hook
32 killed - April 16, 2007 virginia tech shooting
Idk want to keep copy and pasting but im counting around 200 deaths not including the ones above, from 2007- 2018 from just 8 and above deaths per shoot out.
idk Im not trying to bring any gun argument, you can still understand that there have been a lot of shootings and be against gun control. i think if you do the math based on 3 deaths or even 5 deaths and above to define a mass shooting, your odds of winning the power ball are still worse. i guess it depends on what slice of time you allocate, like with anything. i don't feel like re-doing the math though. we know that they are both extremely unlikely though... so ya...
It seems as if from my eyes, in recent years both in France and the USA , we hadn't seen as many shoot outs of the same large size anytime before, does that mean we need to change our laws? No. it's just an honest observation and your opinion on what to do about it doesn't have to change because of it.
I'd reckon being the one of 3 people injured in a shooting would obviously fuck up your day and would still have a chance to fuck up your whole life, so while I'm not sure those should be included in the term "mass shooting" it's still more likely to happen than win the power ball and it still would suck.
I always felt like a mass shooting was defined by people who shoot at random or semi random people in the attempts &/or with the motivation to kill a lot of people. like shooting at the "masses" even if he fails to kill people and only severely injures them, I'm just not sure what you'd call it then, like the guy was shooting at random people trying to kill usually as many as possible. shooting at the "masses of people" ...