All viruses mutate, and it's been known that the novel Coronavirus would do this from the start.
The mutation of the 1918 flu virus meant that an illness that wasn't too bad during the first wave turned into something catastrophic in the second wave. But not all virus mutations are bad for the target host species. In fact, there's constant evolutionary pressure on viruses to become less lethal, since a virus that rapidly kills its host won't be passed on, while one that produces only minor illness is more likely to spread.
Anyone who claims to know how this will all play out in the medium- and long-term is talking crap. The best we can hope for is that the vaccines are effective and readily available to anyone sensible enough to want it, and that the virus evolves into something that virtually everyone can shrug off with no more difficulty than the common cold.
Its pretty much agreed that troop movements were what spread the worse strain of spanish flu. Things like ebola don't spread because of how sick they make you. Normally mild strains of the disease spread because people who get really sick stay home.
200,000 cases per day in the US and the death rate is where it was back in march when it was just NY and California. So the virus is either getting weaker, or those "asymptomatic" cases are actually false positives.
2021 with Mutant coronavirus B117
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All viruses mutate, and it's been known that the novel Coronavirus would do this from the start.
The mutation of the 1918 flu virus meant that an illness that wasn't too bad during the first wave turned into something catastrophic in the second wave. But not all virus mutations are bad for the target host species. In fact, there's constant evolutionary pressure on viruses to become less lethal, since a virus that rapidly kills its host won't be passed on, while one that produces only minor illness is more likely to spread.
Anyone who claims to know how this will all play out in the medium- and long-term is talking crap. The best we can hope for is that the vaccines are effective and readily available to anyone sensible enough to want it, and that the virus evolves into something that virtually everyone can shrug off with no more difficulty than the common cold.
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SmokeEverything
2 years ago
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Its pretty much agreed that troop movements were what spread the worse strain of spanish flu. Things like ebola don't spread because of how sick they make you. Normally mild strains of the disease spread because people who get really sick stay home.
200,000 cases per day in the US and the death rate is where it was back in march when it was just NY and California. So the virus is either getting weaker, or those "asymptomatic" cases are actually false positives.